Head to Head
Fight Predictor
Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.
Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 54%KO/TKO 54%Decision 46%
If it ends early — most likely round
1
2
3
Of finishes, ~59% go to Hiestand. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 8 — 161.1 ◂MMARANK rating30.1
#215 ◂P4P rank#487
4-1 ◂UFC record4-2
4W streak ◂Current form1L skid
75% ◂Finish rate50%
2.7Strikes / min▸ 2.75
4.8 ◂Takedowns / 152.25
71" ◂Reach68.5"
5'8" ◂Height5'7"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
Common opponents · 1
W (Decision 29-28, 29-28, 29-28)Fernie GarciaW (Decision 30-26, 30-27, 30-27)