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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 47%
KO/TKO 47%Decision 53%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~63% go to Ferreira. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 4
72.1 ◂MMARANK rating43.8
#125 ◂P4P rank#343
11-7 ◂UFC record6-6
1W streak ◂Current form3L skid
64%Finish rate▸ 67%
5.17Strikes / min▸ 7.04
0.9Takedowns / 15▸ 1.59
74" ◂Reach70"
5'9"Height▸ 5'10"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox

Common opponents · 2

L (KO (Punches))Alexander HernandezW (KO (Punches))
W (KO)Kyle NelsonW (KO)