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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Curtis BlaydesCurtis Blaydes
88.2 ± 3
59%
Curtis BlaydesWaldo Cortes-Acosta

Out of 50 fights, the model gives Curtis Blaydes ~30 and Waldo Cortes-Acosta ~20.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 37%
KO/TKO 37%Decision 63%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~59% go to Blaydes. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 2
88.2 ◂MMARANK rating71.5
#33 ◂P4P rank#133
15-6 ◂UFC record9-4
1W streak ◂Current form2L skid
53%Finish rate▸ 56%
4.18Strikes / min▸ 5.18
5.12 ◂Takedowns / 150.41
80"Reach—
6'4"Height—
OrthodoxStance—

Common opponents · 3

W (Decision)Alexander VolkovL (Decision 29-28|29-28|30-27)
L (KO)Derrick LewisW (KO (Punches))
L (KO (Punches))Sergei PavlovichL (Decision 30-27|29-28|29-28)