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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Pick two fighters to see the model’s call.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 29%
KO/TKO 29%Decision 71%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~47% go to Hernandez. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 6 — 1
80 ◂MMARANK rating66.4
#67 ◂P4P rank#175
11-8 ◂UFC record21-16
1W streak ◂Current form4L skid
55% ◂Finish rate43%
4.23 ◂Strikes / min3.48
1.05Takedowns / 15▸ 1.95
—Reach70"
—Height5'8"
—StanceSouthpaw

Common opponents · 3

L (SUB (Rear Naked Choke))Renato MoicanoW (Decision 50-44, 49-44, 49-45)
L (KO)Donald CerroneW (KO)
L (KO)Donald CerroneW (Decision)