Head to Head
Fight Predictor
Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.
Song YadongUmar Nurmagomedov
Out of 50 fights, the model gives Song Yadong ~25 and Umar Nurmagomedov ~25.
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 24%KO/TKO 24%Decision 76%
If it ends early — most likely round
1
2
3
Of finishes, ~48% go to Yadong. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 5 — 389.6 ◂MMARANK rating86
#22 ◂P4P rank#40
13-4UFC record▸ 8-2
2W streak ◂Current form1L skid
62% ◂Finish rate38%
4.42 ◂Strikes / min3.86
0.78Takedowns / 15▸ 4.03
67"Reach▸ 69"
5'8"Height5'8"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
Common opponents · 2
W (SUB (Guillotine Choke))Deiveson FigueiredoW (Decision 30-27|30-27|30-27)
L Cory SandhagenW (Decision 45-50|46-49|46-49)