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Head to Head

Fight Predictor

Pick any two ranked fighters — win probability, tale of the tape, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.

Petr YanPetr Yan
91.6 ± 3
45%
Merab DvalishviliMerab Dvalishvili
93.1 ± 3
55%
Petr YanMerab Dvalishvili

Out of 50 fights, the model gives Petr Yan ~23 and Merab Dvalishvili ~27.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 10%
KO/TKO 10%Decision 90%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3

Of finishes, ~45% go to Yan. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 4 — 5
91.6MMARANK rating▸ 93.1
#13P4P rank▸ #10
12-4UFC record▸ 14-3
4W streak ◂Current form1L skid
33% ◂Finish rate14%
5.16 ◂Strikes / min4.42
1.7Takedowns / 15▸ 5.97
67"Reach▸ 68"
5'7" ◂Height5'6"
SwitchStanceOrthodox

Common opponents · 5

W (Decision)Cory SandhagenW (Decision 49-45|49-45|49-46)
L Sean O'MalleyW (SUB (Guillotine Choke))
L Sean O'MalleyW (Decision 46-49|47-48|47-48)
W (KO)Jose AldoW (Decision 28-29, 27-30, 28-29)
W (Decision)John DodsonW (Decision)