UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje
Sunday, 14 June 2026· model 5/7
The model finished 5/7 at UFC Freedom 250, with Justin Gaethje's knockout of Ilia Topuria in the fourth round marking a significant upset. Ciryl Gane's second-round knockout of Alex Pereira also deviated from predictions. O'Malley, Nickal, Lopes and Hokit all performed as expected, whilst Ruffy's first-round stoppage of Chandler validated the model's assessment.
Featherweight★ Main✓ model correct
Model: Diego Lopes 58% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R2 2:42
Bantamweight★ Main✓ model correct
Model: Sean O'Malley 59% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R2 4:02
Heavyweight★ Main✓ model correct
Model: Josh Hokit 62% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R2 4:09
Heavyweight★ Main✗ upset
Model: Alex Pereira 52% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R2 1:27
Lightweight★ Main✓ model correct
Model: Mauricio Ruffy 57% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R1 4:29
Middleweight★ Main✓ model correct
Model: Bo Nickal 61% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R1 4:34
Lightweight★ Main✗ upset
Model: Ilia Topuria 67% · KO — Result: KO · R4 5:00