UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Saturday, 16 May 2026· model 4/13
The model finished 4 of 13 picks correct at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, a card dominated by upsets. Arnold Allen's main event victory over Melquizael Costa went as predicted, whilst Khaos Williams and Polyana Viana's opponent Alice Ardelean also aligned with forecasts. However, six upsets—including Tommy Gantt's round-two knockout of Artur Minev and Cody Brundage's explosive finish of Andre Petroski—undermined accuracy across featherweight, lightweight, light heavyweight and other divisions.
Featherweight★ Main✓ model correct
Model: Arnold Allen 56% · Decision — Result: Decision 49-46|50-45|50-45
Lightweight✗ upset
Model: Artur Minev 50% · Decision — Result: KO (Punches) · R2 2:51
Light Heavyweight✗ upset
Model: Tuco Tokkos 63% · Submission — Result: Decision 28-29|28-29|28-29
Welterweight✓ model correct
Model: Khaos Williams 64% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R1 3:31
Bantamweight✗ upset
Model: Timmy Cuamba 57% · Decision — Result: SUB (Rear Naked Choke) · R2 2:25
Women's Strawweight✗ upset
Model: Shauna Bannon 72% · Submission — Result: SUB (Arm Triangle) · R3 3:08
Flyweight✗ upset
Model: Daniel Barez 56% · Decision — Result: Decision 27-30|27-30|27-30
Middleweight✗ upset
Model: Andre Petroski 62% · Submission — Result: KO (Punches) · R2 0:44
Women's Strawweight✓ model correct
Model: Alice Ardelean 51% · Decision — Result: SUB (Calf Slicer) · R2 4:36
Women's Bantamweight✗ upset
Model: Jacqueline Cavalcanti 65% · Decision — Result: Decision 29-28|29-28|29-28
Bantamweight✗ upset
Model: Malcolm Wellmaker 58% · KO — Result: SUB (Rear Naked Choke) · R2 4:08
Featherweight✗ upset
Model: Daniel Santos 54% · KO — Result: KO (Punch) · R2 4:29