UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Saturday, 24 January 2026· model 8/11
Justin Gaethje delivered the headline upset at UFC 324, outpointing Paddy Pimblett across three rounds in a lightweight main event the model had predicted going the Englishman's way. The card produced three upsets overall, with Ty Miller and Jean Silva also defying the model's picks. The system went 8 of 11 picks correct, with knockout finishes dominating the early prelims.
Lightweight★ Main✗ upset
Model: Paddy Pimblett 53% · Submission — Result: Decision 48-47|49-46|49-46
Welterweight✗ upset
Model: Adam Fugitt 50% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R1 4:59
Heavyweight✓ model correct
Model: Josh Hokit 60% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R1 4:59
Flyweight✓ model correct
Model: Alex Perez 55% · KO — Result: KO (Punch) · R1 3:16
Light Heavyweight✓ model correct
Model: Nikita Krylov 61% · Submission — Result: KO (Punch) · R3 4:57
Middleweight✓ model correct
Model: Ateba Gautier 65% · KO — Result: Decision 30-27|29-28|29-28
Bantamweight✓ model correct
Model: Umar Nurmagomedov 60% · Submission — Result: Decision 30-27|30-27|30-27
Featherweight✗ upset
Model: Arnold Allen 56% · Submission — Result: Decision 27-30|28-29|28-29
Women's Flyweight✓ model correct
Model: Natalia Silva 60% · Decision — Result: Decision 29-28|29-28|29-28
Heavyweight✓ model correct
Model: Waldo Cortes-Acosta 55% · KO — Result: KO (Punches) · R2 3:14
Bantamweight✓ model correct
Model: Sean O'Malley 52% · KO — Result: Decision 29-28|29-28|29-28